Polokwane City 1-1 Richards Bay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.36
Over 2.5
35%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.53
No
58%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
1.74
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
14%
7.59
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
+0.0pp
32%
Draw
32%
+0.3pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.3pp
64%
Under 2.5
70%
-5.5pp
36%
Over 2.5
30%
+5.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
36%
+6.9pp
58%
BTTS No
64%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polokwane City EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Richards Bay EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -18%
1.38/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.06
-24% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 73%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
16.9 Crosses 20.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polokwane City
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Richards Bay
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
0.94 xG 0.87
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
269 Passes 252
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
30.03.2025 Polokwane City Polokwane City 3-1 HT 1-0 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAFPSL
08.02.2025 Richards Bay Richards Bay 2-0 HT 0-0 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAFPSL
08.05.2024 Polokwane City Polokwane City 0-0 HT 0-0 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAFPSL
24.02.2024 Richards Bay Richards Bay 3-2 HT 2-1 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAF8K
04.10.2023 Richards Bay Richards Bay 0-1 HT 0-1 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polokwane City
1-1
AWAY Richards Bay
0.70 xG 1.65
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
262 Passes 209
73% Pass Accuracy 70%
8 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Polokwane City vs Richards Bay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polokwane City and Richards Bay couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Polokwane City at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Polokwane City had 55% of the ball to Richards Bay's 45%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 0.70 to 1.65.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Polokwane City and 1.20 for Richards Bay.

What was the final score of Polokwane City vs Richards Bay?

Polokwane City 1-1 Richards Bay in the South Afrika - Premier League on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polokwane City vs Richards Bay?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polokwane City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Polokwane City 45%, draw 32%, Richards Bay 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Polokwane City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Polokwane City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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