Mamelodi Sundowns 1-1 Orlando Pirates — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.41
Over 2.5
40%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.29
No
56%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
1.93
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
6.19
6+ Goals
6%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
22%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.7pp
31%
Draw
32%
-0.2pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
67%
-6.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
33%
+6.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.8pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Orlando Pirates EU Bookmakers 28%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.22/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.53
+94% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -53%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.3
10.5 Crosses 15.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Orlando Pirates
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.42 xG 1.05
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
350 Passes 208
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.08.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 1-1 HT 1-0 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAF8K
16.08.2025 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 1-1 HT 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAF8K
16.03.2025 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 2-1 HT 2-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
08.02.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 4-1 HT 2-0 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
01.06.2024 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 1-2 HT 0-0 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAF8K
17.02.2024 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 1-1 HT 0-0 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
1-1
AWAY Orlando Pirates
1.04 xG 0.54
63% Ball Possession 37%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
382 Passes 177
84% Pass Accuracy 70%
13 Box Touches 10
7 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mamelodi Sundowns vs Orlando Pirates
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mamelodi Sundowns and Orlando Pirates shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Mamelodi Sundowns at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Mamelodi Sundowns had 63% of the ball to Orlando Pirates's 37%, shots finished 7-8, expected goals 1.04 to 0.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando Pirates led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mamelodi Sundowns and 1.33 for Orlando Pirates.

What was the final score of Mamelodi Sundowns vs Orlando Pirates?

Mamelodi Sundowns 1-1 Orlando Pirates in the South Afrika - Premier League on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Orlando Pirates?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mamelodi Sundowns 41%, draw 31%, Orlando Pirates 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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