Trefelin 2-0 Pontypridd Town AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.57
Draw
17%
4.08
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
59%
-1.0pp
17%
Draw
21%
-3.7pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.3pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trefelin EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontypridd Town AFC EU Bookmakers 23%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.71/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/2.06
-27% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
372 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trefelin
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Pontypridd Town AFC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
30.11.2024 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC 4-2 HT 2-1 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
06.08.2024 Trefelin Trefelin 2-3 HT 2-1 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GALFAW
08.04.2022 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC 2-1 HT 2-0 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
POST-MATCH Trefelin vs Pontypridd Town AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trefelin saw off Pontypridd Town AFC 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Trefelin as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Pontypridd Town AFC led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Trefelin and 3.00 for Pontypridd Town AFC.

What was the final score of Trefelin vs Pontypridd Town AFC?

Trefelin 2-0 Pontypridd Town AFC in the Wales - FAW Championship on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trefelin vs Pontypridd Town AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trefelin win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Trefelin 58%, draw 17%, Pontypridd Town AFC 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trefelin) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trefelin) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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