Trefelin 2-3 Pontypridd Town AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 6 Aug 2024

📅06/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.04
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
54%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.59
Over 2.5
53%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.5
No
52%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
33%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+3.6pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.7pp
54%
Away Win
57%
-2.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
35%
+12.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
65%
-12.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
62%
-14.6pp
52%
BTTS No
38%
+14.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trefelin EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontypridd Town AFC EU Bookmakers 62%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.14/2.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/0.81
-16% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +41%
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
319 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trefelin
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Pontypridd Town AFC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
08.04.2022 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC 2-1 HT 2-0 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
POST-MATCH Trefelin vs Pontypridd Town AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontypridd Town AFC edged past Trefelin 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Pontypridd Town AFC as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Trefelin vs Pontypridd Town AFC?

Trefelin 2-3 Pontypridd Town AFC in the Wales - FAW Championship on 06/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trefelin vs Pontypridd Town AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pontypridd Town AFC win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Trefelin 25%, draw 21%, Pontypridd Town AFC 54%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GALFAW More Wales - FAW Championship
6 Aug 2024
20:30 Llay Miners Welfare vs Ruthin Town Analysis →
20:45 Newport City vs Cambrian & Clydach Analysis →
21:30 Goytre United vs Baglan Dragons Analysis →
21:30 Ammanford vs Llantwit Major Analysis →
21:30 Afan Lido vs Taffs Well Analysis →
21:30 Caerau (Ely) vs Carmarthen Town Analysis →