Pontypridd Town AFC 4-2 Trefelin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
32%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.51
Over 2.5
52%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
57%
-14.5pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.3pp
32%
Away Win
21%
+10.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
36%
+11.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
64%
-11.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.5pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontypridd Town AFC EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Trefelin EU Bookmakers 25%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +9%
1.77/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/2.25
-18% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
405 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontypridd Town AFC
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Trefelin
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
06.08.2024 Trefelin Trefelin 2-3 HT 2-1 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GALFAW
08.04.2022 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC 2-1 HT 2-0 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
POST-MATCH Pontypridd Town AFC vs Trefelin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontypridd Town AFC got the better of Trefelin 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pontypridd Town AFC as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Pontypridd Town AFC had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Pontypridd Town AFC and 1.50 for Trefelin.

What was the final score of Pontypridd Town AFC vs Trefelin?

Pontypridd Town AFC 4-2 Trefelin in the Wales - FAW Championship on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontypridd Town AFC vs Trefelin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pontypridd Town AFC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Pontypridd Town AFC 42%, draw 26%, Trefelin 32%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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