Daejeon Citizen 3-1 FC Seoul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.13
2-3 Goals
37%
1.89
4-5 Goals
22%
3.12
6+ Goals
11%
9.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.13 — our 30% vs market 19.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.56
1/2
6%
26.0
1/X
5%
12.45
X/1
12%
5.84
X/2
10%
6.04
X/X
15%
5.11
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
21%
3.75
2/X
5%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-0.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.4pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Seoul EU Bookmakers 39%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -5%
1.42/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.46
-3% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
347 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
19.1 Crosses 16.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daejeon Citizen
2W-2D-2L
AWAY FC Seoul
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
298 Passes 348
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.07.2025 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOR
10.05.2025 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOR
12.04.2025 FC Seoul FC Seoul 2-2 HT 0-2 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
14.09.2024 FC Seoul FC Seoul 2-3 HT 1-2 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
10.07.2024 FC Seoul FC Seoul 2-1 HT 0-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
27.04.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 3-1 HT 2-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Daejeon Citizen
3-1
AWAY FC Seoul
48% Ball Possession 52%
24 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
292 Passes 337
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Daejeon Citizen vs FC Seoul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daejeon Citizen beat FC Seoul 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Daejeon Citizen found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Daejeon Citizen had 48% of the ball to FC Seoul's 52%, shots finished 24-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Daejeon Citizen and 1.33 for FC Seoul.

What was the final score of Daejeon Citizen vs FC Seoul?

Daejeon Citizen 3-1 FC Seoul in the South Kore - K League Classic on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daejeon Citizen vs FC Seoul?

Before kick-off our model rated a Daejeon Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Daejeon Citizen 37%, draw 25%, FC Seoul 37%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/25/37) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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