NAC Breda 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 1 Nov 2025

NAC Breda
1-0 HT 0-0
Go Ahead Eagles
📅01/11/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2025/2026

NAC Breda vs Go Ahead Eagles Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.12
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.19
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
2.9
6+ Goals
13%
8.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.07
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
6%
12.4
X/1
16%
5.39
X/2
7%
6.73
X/X
10%
5.31
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
23.1
2/2
17%
4.32
2/X
6%
12.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.1 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
43%
+5.2pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.9pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.2pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

NAC Breda v Go Ahead Eagles — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NAC Breda EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
1.72/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.52
+5% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
22.8 Crosses 19.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9

NAC Breda vs Go Ahead Eagles Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NAC Breda
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.79 xG 2.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
304 Passes 352
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
12.04.2025 NAC Breda NAC Breda 1-1 HT 0-1 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
21.12.2024 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 2-1 HT 0-1 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL
05.04.2021 NAC Breda NAC Breda 0-1 HT 0-1 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL2
11.12.2020 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 0-0 HT 0-0 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL2
26.10.2020 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 6-0 HT 5-0 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOK
26.01.2020 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 1-0 HT 0-0 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL2

NAC Breda 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NAC Breda
1-0
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles
0.63 xG 0.40
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
311 Passes 413
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 23
24 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH NAC Breda vs Go Ahead Eagles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NAC Breda nicked a narrow win over Go Ahead Eagles 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had NAC Breda as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, NAC Breda had 44% of the ball to Go Ahead Eagles's 56%, shots finished 8-7, expected goals 0.63 to 0.40.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Go Ahead Eagles led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for NAC Breda and 1.83 for Go Ahead Eagles.

What was the final score of NAC Breda vs Go Ahead Eagles?

NAC Breda 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NAC Breda vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Before kick-off our model rated a NAC Breda win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split NAC Breda 49%, draw 22%, Go Ahead Eagles 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NAC Breda) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (NAC Breda) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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