Telstar 2-2 Excelsior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 1 Nov 2025

Telstar
2-2 HT 2-1
Excelsior
📅01/11/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2025/2026

Telstar vs Excelsior Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
2.05
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
24%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.1
Over 2.5
59%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.6
No
40%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
45%
+8.9pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.9pp
24%
Away Win
29%
-5.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.7pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Telstar v Excelsior — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Telstar EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Excelsior EU Bookmakers 32%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -6%
1.74/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.87
-8% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
33.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
24.5 Crosses 20.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Telstar vs Excelsior Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Telstar
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Excelsior
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.17 xG 2.05
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
325 Passes 325
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.02.2025 Telstar Telstar 1-3 HT 0-1 Excelsior Excelsior HOL2
13.09.2024 Excelsior Excelsior 3-2 HT 2-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
08.04.2022 Excelsior Excelsior 1-4 HT 1-2 Telstar Telstar HOL2
06.11.2021 Telstar Telstar 2-5 HT 1-3 Excelsior Excelsior HOL2
16.04.2021 Telstar Telstar 1-1 HT 1-0 Excelsior Excelsior HOL2
22.09.2020 Excelsior Excelsior 1-2 HT 0-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2

Telstar 2-2 Excelsior — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Telstar
2-2
AWAY Excelsior
3.44 xG 3.45
46% Ball Possession 54%
17 Total Shots 21
8 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
256 Passes 326
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
30 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 25
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Telstar vs Excelsior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Telstar and Excelsior couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Telstar at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Telstar had 46% of the ball to Excelsior's 54%, shots finished 17-21, expected goals 3.44 to 3.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Excelsior led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Telstar and 2.33 for Excelsior.

What was the final score of Telstar vs Excelsior?

Telstar 2-2 Excelsior in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Telstar vs Excelsior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Telstar win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Telstar 54%, draw 22%, Excelsior 24%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Telstar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Telstar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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