Escobedo 1-1 Real Aviles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
1.52
Over
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
39%
4-5
18%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+5.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.2pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.0pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Escobedo EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Aviles EU Bookmakers 45%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +3%
0.66/2.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/0.92
-37% / -56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
361 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Escobedo
1-1
AWAY Real Aviles
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Escobedo vs Real Aviles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Escobedo and Real Aviles shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Escobedo had 50% of the ball to Real Aviles's 50%, shots finished 9-7.

What was the final score of Escobedo vs Real Aviles?

Escobedo 1-1 Real Aviles in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Escobedo vs Real Aviles?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Aviles win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Escobedo 35%, draw 27%, Real Aviles 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Real Aviles), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Aviles) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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