Talavera CF 2-1 CD Coria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.61
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
56%
1.56
Over
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.33
No Pick
57%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
41%
4-5
19%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
23%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
58%
-7.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
39%
+4.1pp
57%
BTTS No
61%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Talavera CF EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Coria EU Bookmakers 20%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.27/0.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.83
-24% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -20%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Talavera CF
1W-1D-0L
AWAY CD Coria
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
19.03.2023 CD Coria CD Coria 0-2 HT 0-1 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS4
30.10.2022 Talavera CF Talavera CF 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Coria CD Coria İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Talavera CF
2-1
AWAY CD Coria
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Talavera CF vs CD Coria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Talavera CF squeezed past CD Coria 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Talavera CF as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Talavera CF had 48% of the ball to CD Coria's 52%, shots finished 12-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Talavera CF had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Talavera CF and 0.00 for CD Coria.

What was the final score of Talavera CF vs CD Coria?

Talavera CF 2-1 CD Coria in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Talavera CF vs CD Coria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Talavera CF win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Talavera CF 50%, draw 27%, CD Coria 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Talavera CF) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Talavera CF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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