UCAM Murcia 1-0 UD San Fernando — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.62
Over 2.5
51%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.06
No
49%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+1.6pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.3pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+1.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
58%
-9.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
42%
+9.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.3pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UCAM Murcia EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY UD San Fernando EU Bookmakers 23%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -15%
1.79/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.46
+16% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UCAM Murcia
1-0
AWAY UD San Fernando
65% Ball Possession 35%
8 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 0
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH UCAM Murcia vs UD San Fernando
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UCAM Murcia nicked a narrow win over UD San Fernando 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had UCAM Murcia as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, UCAM Murcia had 65% of the ball to UD San Fernando's 35%, shots finished 8-6.

What was the final score of UCAM Murcia vs UD San Fernando?

UCAM Murcia 1-0 UD San Fernando in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UCAM Murcia vs UD San Fernando?

Before kick-off our model rated a UCAM Murcia win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split UCAM Murcia 54%, draw 24%, UD San Fernando 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UCAM Murcia) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (UCAM Murcia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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