Karlsruher SC 1-3 Hamburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.27
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.39
No
45%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.87
2-3 Goals
38%
2.06
4-5 Goals
28%
2.64
6+ Goals
13%
6.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.52
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
8%
13.5
X/1
17%
6.53
X/2
13%
7.21
X/X
6%
6.45
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
15%
4.05
2/X
8%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+2.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.4pp
35%
Away Win
35%
+0.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
68%
-12.5pp
45%
BTTS No
32%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karlsruher SC EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamburg EU Bookmakers 38%
+2% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
1.76/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.56
+36% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
288 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 75%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
22.7 Crosses 17.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karlsruher SC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Hamburg
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
2.10 xG 2.01
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
256 Passes 461
71% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 40
13 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.01.2024 Hamburg Hamburg 3-4 HT 2-2 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
06.08.2023 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 2-2 HT 1-0 Hamburg Hamburg AL2
12.03.2023 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 4-2 HT 3-0 Hamburg Hamburg AL2
03.09.2022 Hamburg Hamburg 1-0 HT 1-0 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
16.04.2022 Hamburg Hamburg 3-0 HT 2-0 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
02.03.2022 Hamburg Hamburg 2-2 HT 0-1 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karlsruher SC
1-3
AWAY Hamburg
1.41 xG 1.93
49% Ball Possession 51%
21 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 7
336 Passes 395
83% Pass Accuracy 88%
34 Box Touches 28
33 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Karlsruher SC vs Hamburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamburg saw off Karlsruher SC 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Karlsruher SC at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Karlsruher SC had 49% of the ball to Hamburg's 51%, shots finished 21-18, expected goals 1.41 to 1.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Karlsruher SC and 2.17 for Hamburg.

What was the final score of Karlsruher SC vs Hamburg?

Karlsruher SC 1-3 Hamburg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karlsruher SC vs Hamburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karlsruher SC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Karlsruher SC 43%, draw 23%, Hamburg 35%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Karlsruher SC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Karlsruher SC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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