Nürnberg 2-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 1 Dec 2024

Nürnberg
2-2 HT 1-0
Fortuna Düsseldorf
📅01/12/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Nürnberg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
38%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.51
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.47
6+ Goals
11%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.51 — our 28% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.39
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.85
X/1
17%
5.47
X/2
10%
7.21
X/X
12%
5.33
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
20%
5.01
2/X
6%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-5.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
38%
Away Win
30%
+7.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.4pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nürnberg v Fortuna Düsseldorf — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nürnberg EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
1.25/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.40
-23% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
347 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 75%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
18.1 Crosses 18.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Nürnberg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nürnberg
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.92 xG 1.78
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
328 Passes 444
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 30
20 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.05.2024 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-1 HT 2-0 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
02.12.2023 Nürnberg Nürnberg 0-5 HT 0-3 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
22.04.2023 Nürnberg Nürnberg 2-0 HT 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
08.02.2023 Nürnberg Nürnberg 1-1 HT 0-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AFK
15.10.2022 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 0-1 HT 0-0 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
21.01.2022 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 0-1 HT 0-1 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2

Nürnberg 2-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nürnberg
2-2
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf
2.32 xG 1.58
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
12 Corners 5
441 Passes 342
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 19
27 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Nürnberg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nürnberg and Fortuna Düsseldorf couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Nürnberg had 55% of the ball to Fortuna Düsseldorf's 45%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 2.32 to 1.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nürnberg had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nürnberg and 1.50 for Fortuna Düsseldorf.

What was the final score of Nürnberg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Nürnberg 2-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nürnberg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nürnberg win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Nürnberg 38%, draw 25%, Fortuna Düsseldorf 38%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/25/38) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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