Dragon 0-2 Isidro Metapan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒00:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.17
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
28%
-1.1pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.6pp
43%
Away Win
43%
-0.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.5pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dragon EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Isidro Metapan EU Bookmakers 48%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -58% / -58%
0.84/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.24/2.02
-28% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -83% / -51%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
289 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dragon
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Isidro Metapan
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.09.2024 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 4-0 HT 1-0 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
05.05.2024 Dragon Dragon 3-1 HT 0-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
17.03.2024 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 2-1 HT 1-0 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
19.10.2023 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 2-2 HT 0-1 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
24.08.2023 Dragon Dragon 0-0 HT 0-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
24.04.2023 Dragon Dragon 1-2 HT 0-2 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
POST-MATCH Dragon vs Isidro Metapan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Isidro Metapan got the better of Dragon 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Isidro Metapan as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Isidro Metapan led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dragon and 1.83 for Isidro Metapan.

What was the final score of Dragon vs Isidro Metapan?

Dragon 0-2 Isidro Metapan in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dragon vs Isidro Metapan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Isidro Metapan win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Dragon 27%, draw 30%, Isidro Metapan 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Isidro Metapan) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Isidro Metapan) ✗ BTTS Yes
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