Zalaegerszegi TE 0-1 MOL Fehervar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.84
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.94
6+ Goals
9%
18.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+4.3pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.0pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY MOL Fehervar EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -15%
1.50/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.61
-3% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
15.8 Crosses 16.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE
2W-3D-1L
AWAY MOL Fehervar
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.42 xG 1.90
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
265 Passes 472
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 1-1 HT 0-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
21.04.2024 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 1-1 HT 0-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
03.02.2024 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 3-1 HT 2-0 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
24.09.2023 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 3-3 HT 1-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
20.05.2023 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 3-0 HT 2-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
25.02.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 2-1 HT 1-1 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE
0-1
AWAY MOL Fehervar
1.22 xG 0.99
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
383 Passes 285
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zalaegerszegi TE vs MOL Fehervar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MOL Fehervar squeezed past Zalaegerszegi TE 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Zalaegerszegi TE at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Zalaegerszegi TE had 56% of the ball to MOL Fehervar's 44%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.22 to 0.99.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalaegerszegi TE had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Zalaegerszegi TE and 1.67 for MOL Fehervar.

What was the final score of Zalaegerszegi TE vs MOL Fehervar?

Zalaegerszegi TE 0-1 MOL Fehervar in the Hungary - NB I on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalaegerszegi TE vs MOL Fehervar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zalaegerszegi TE win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Zalaegerszegi TE 46%, draw 25%, MOL Fehervar 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Zalaegerszegi TE) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zalaegerszegi TE) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MAC More Hungary - NB I
1 Dec 2024
21:30 Ujpest vs Ferencvaros Analysis →