Ikorodu City 4-1 Akwa United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.49
Draw
34%
3.54
Away
17%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.44
Over 2.5
32%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.95
No
63%
1.35
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
22%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
63%
-13.8pp
34%
Draw
25%
+8.7pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+5.2pp
68%
Under 2.5
66%
+2.3pp
32%
Over 2.5
34%
-2.3pp
37%
BTTS Yes
30%
+6.6pp
63%
BTTS No
70%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ikorodu City EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Akwa United EU Bookmakers 15%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
2.34/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/1.29
+45% / -65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +26%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
327 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
POST-MATCH Ikorodu City vs Akwa United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ikorodu City cruised past Akwa United 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ikorodu City as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Ikorodu City vs Akwa United?

Ikorodu City 4-1 Akwa United in the Nigeria NPFL on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ikorodu City vs Akwa United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ikorodu City win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ikorodu City 49%, draw 34%, Akwa United 17%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ikorodu City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ikorodu City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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