Rivers United 1-0 Kano Pillars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.29
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.75
No
55%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
74%
-10.5pp
21%
Draw
19%
+1.4pp
16%
Away Win
7%
+9.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
32%
+12.9pp
55%
BTTS No
68%
-12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rivers United EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Kano Pillars EU Bookmakers 9%
+4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
1.82/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.82
+7% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -9%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
474 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rivers United
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Kano Pillars
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
09.03.2024 Rivers United Rivers United 1-1 HT 0-1 Kano Pillars Kano Pillars NIJ
22.10.2023 Kano Pillars Kano Pillars 1-0 Rivers United Rivers United NIJ
02.03.2022 Kano Pillars Kano Pillars 0-1 HT 0-0 Rivers United Rivers United NIJ
09.06.2021 Rivers United Rivers United 2-0 HT 1-0 Kano Pillars Kano Pillars NIJ
27.01.2021 Kano Pillars Kano Pillars 1-0 HT 1-0 Rivers United Rivers United NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rivers United
1-0
AWAY Kano Pillars
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Rivers United vs Kano Pillars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rivers United edged past Kano Pillars 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rivers United as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Rivers United had 52% of the ball to Kano Pillars's 48%, shots finished 10-6.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Rivers United and 0.60 for Kano Pillars.

What was the final score of Rivers United vs Kano Pillars?

Rivers United 1-0 Kano Pillars in the Nigeria NPFL on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rivers United vs Kano Pillars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rivers United win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Rivers United 63%, draw 21%, Kano Pillars 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rivers United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rivers United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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