Katsina United 1-0 Sunshine Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.47
Draw
42%
3.45
Away
15%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.28
Over 2.5
40%
3.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
3.81
No
52%
1.22
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
24%
X/2
9%
X/X
28%
2/1
10%
2/2
3%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
64%
-21.1pp
42%
Draw
26%
+15.9pp
15%
Away Win
10%
+5.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
75%
-14.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
25%
+14.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
22%
+26.1pp
52%
BTTS No
78%
-26.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Katsina United EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Sunshine Stars EU Bookmakers 12%
+11% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.97/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.36/1.63
+22% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
324 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Katsina United
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Sunshine Stars
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
13.03.2024 Sunshine Stars Sunshine Stars 1-0 HT 1-0 Katsina United Katsina United NIJ
21.07.2021 Sunshine Stars Sunshine Stars 0-0 HT 0-0 Katsina United Katsina United NIJ
07.03.2021 Katsina United Katsina United 0-0 HT 0-0 Sunshine Stars Sunshine Stars NIJ
18.03.2020 Sunshine Stars Sunshine Stars 1-2 HT 0-1 Katsina United Katsina United NIJ
POST-MATCH Katsina United vs Sunshine Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katsina United nicked a narrow win over Sunshine Stars 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 43% / 42% / 15% — and on the day Katsina United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Katsina United and 0.50 for Sunshine Stars.

What was the final score of Katsina United vs Sunshine Stars?

Katsina United 1-0 Sunshine Stars in the Nigeria NPFL on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Katsina United vs Sunshine Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Katsina United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Katsina United 43%, draw 42%, Sunshine Stars 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Katsina United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Katsina United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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