Penafiel vs Mafra Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Penafiel v Mafra — Team-Based Signals
Penafiel vs Mafra Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Mafra
POR2
1-0
HT 0-0
Mafra
POR2
3-0
HT 0-0
Penafiel
POR2
1-1
HT 0-0
Penafiel
POR2
2-1
HT 0-0
Mafra
POR2
Penafiel 1-1 Mafra — Actual Match Statistics
Penafiel and Mafra couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 29%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Penafiel had 48% of the ball to Mafra's 52%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 1.78 to 1.53.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Penafiel had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Penafiel and 0.83 for Mafra.
What was the final score of Penafiel vs Mafra?
Penafiel 1-1 Mafra in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Penafiel vs Mafra?
Before kick-off our model rated a Penafiel win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Penafiel 40%, draw 31%, Mafra 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Penafiel), BTTS No went the other way.