Estoril 2-1 Famalicao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 1 Dec 2024

Estoril
2-1 HT 2-1
Famalicao
📅01/12/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2024/2025

Estoril vs Famalicao Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.99
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
43%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.52
Over 2.5
48%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.06
No
49%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.33
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
5.34
6+ Goals
10%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.64
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
16.6
X/1
8%
6.91
X/2
16%
5.14
X/X
15%
4.1
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
20%
3.71
2/X
6%
16.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
-2.9pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.7pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+2.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
62%
-10.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
38%
+10.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.3pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Estoril v Famalicao — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estoril EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Famalicao EU Bookmakers 45%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +13%
1.32/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.36
+24% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -23%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
18.9 Crosses 15.5
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.9

Estoril vs Famalicao Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estoril
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Famalicao
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.07 xG 1.85
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
285 Passes 357
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
28.04.2024 Estoril Estoril 1-0 HT 1-0 Famalicao Famalicao POR
17.12.2023 Famalicao Famalicao 1-1 HT 1-1 Estoril Estoril POR
29.01.2023 Famalicao Famalicao 1-0 HT 0-0 Estoril Estoril POR
15.12.2022 Estoril Estoril 0-1 HT 0-1 Famalicao Famalicao PORLC
06.08.2022 Estoril Estoril 2-0 HT 2-0 Famalicao Famalicao POR
29.04.2022 Famalicao Famalicao 3-1 HT 1-0 Estoril Estoril POR

Estoril 2-1 Famalicao — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estoril
2-1
AWAY Famalicao
1.48 xG 1.10
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 7
287 Passes 346
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 8
14 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Estoril vs Famalicao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estoril nicked a narrow win over Famalicao 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Famalicao at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Estoril had 46% of the ball to Famalicao's 54%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 1.48 to 1.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Famalicao led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Estoril and 1.00 for Famalicao.

What was the final score of Estoril vs Famalicao?

Estoril 2-1 Famalicao in the Portugal - Premier League on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estoril vs Famalicao?

Before kick-off our model rated an Famalicao win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Estoril 27%, draw 30%, Famalicao 43%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Famalicao), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Famalicao) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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