Arouca vs Benfica Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Arouca v Benfica — Team-Based Signals
Arouca vs Benfica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Benfica
PORLC
0-3
HT 0-1
Benfica
POR
4-0
HT 3-0
Arouca
POR
0-2
HT 0-1
Benfica
POR
Arouca 0-2 Benfica — Actual Match Statistics
Benfica beat Arouca 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Benfica as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Arouca had 49% of the ball to Benfica's 51%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 0.52 to 2.09.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Arouca and 3.17 for Benfica.
What was the final score of Arouca vs Benfica?
Arouca 0-2 Benfica in the Portugal - Premier League on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arouca vs Benfica?
Before kick-off our model rated an Benfica win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Arouca 20%, draw 21%, Benfica 59%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.