Benfica vs Arouca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Benfica v Arouca — Team-Based Signals
Benfica vs Arouca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Benfica
PORLC
0-3
HT 0-1
Benfica
POR
4-0
HT 3-0
Arouca
POR
0-2
HT 0-1
Benfica
POR
2-0
HT 2-0
Arouca
POR
Benfica 5-0 Arouca — Actual Match Statistics
Benfica ran out comfortable winners over Arouca 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Benfica as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Benfica had 50% of the ball to Arouca's 50%, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 5.40 to 0.32.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Benfica and 0.00 for Arouca.
What was the final score of Benfica vs Arouca?
Benfica 5-0 Arouca in the Portugal - Premier League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Benfica vs Arouca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Benfica 63%, draw 20%, Arouca 17%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.