Porto vs Boavista Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Porto v Boavista — Team-Based Signals
Porto vs Boavista Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Boavista
POR
1-4
HT 0-1
Porto
POR
0-1
HT 0-1
Porto
POR
4-1
HT 2-1
Boavista
POR
2-2
HT 0-2
Boavista
POR
Porto 2-1 Boavista — Actual Match Statistics
Porto squeezed past Boavista 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Porto as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.
On the day, Porto had 78% of the ball to Boavista's 22%, shots finished 23-3, expected goals 2.43 to 0.24 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Porto's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Porto had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Porto and 0.83 for Boavista.
What was the final score of Porto vs Boavista?
Porto 2-1 Boavista in the Portugal - Premier League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Porto vs Boavista?
Before kick-off our model rated a Porto win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Porto 69%, draw 16%, Boavista 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Porto), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.