Makhachkala 0-0 Fakel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 1 Dec 2024

Makhachkala
0-0 HT 0-0
Fakel
📅01/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2024/2025

Makhachkala vs Fakel Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.18
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
34%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
77%
1.36
Over 2.5
23%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
30%
2.51
No
70%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
1.84
2-3 Goals
38%
1.93
4-5 Goals
11%
8.03
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.38
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.3
X/1
8%
4.29
X/2 EV+ ✗
19%
6.61
X/X
24%
3.11
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
11%
6.12
2/X
4%
16.85
Value flag · X/2 at 6.61 — our 19% vs market 11.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
42%
-9.6pp
33%
Draw
32%
+1.5pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+8.2pp
77%
Under 2.5
70%
+7.2pp
23%
Over 2.5
30%
-7.2pp
30%
BTTS Yes
36%
-5.4pp
70%
BTTS No
64%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Makhachkala v Fakel — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Makhachkala EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Fakel EU Bookmakers 29%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.25/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.16
-28% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
329 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 75%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
25.1 Crosses 13.8
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Makhachkala vs Fakel Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Makhachkala
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Fakel
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.89 xG 1.22
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
201 Passes 200
62% Pass Accuracy 66%
18 Box Touches 33
17 Crosses 26
5 Yellow Cards 6
The Meetings
06.10.2024 Fakel Fakel 1-1 HT 0-1 Makhachkala Makhachkala RUS

Makhachkala 0-0 Fakel — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Makhachkala
0-0
AWAY Fakel
0.76 xG 0.21
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 5
199 Passes 188
57% Pass Accuracy 57%
20 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Makhachkala vs Fakel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Makhachkala and Fakel fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (77%), no to both teams scoring (70%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Makhachkala had 51% of the ball to Fakel's 49%, shots finished 8-7, expected goals 0.76 to 0.21.

What was the final score of Makhachkala vs Fakel?

Makhachkala 0-0 Fakel in the Russia - Premier League on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Makhachkala vs Fakel?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fakel win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Makhachkala 33%, draw 33%, Fakel 34%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Fakel) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fakel) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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