Lokomotiv Moscow 1-3 Khimki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 1 Dec 2024

Lokomotiv Moscow
1-3 HT 1-2
Khimki
📅01/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2024/2025

Lokomotiv Moscow vs Khimki Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.61
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.38
Over 2.5
51%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
5.01
2-3 Goals
37%
1.97
4-5 Goals
26%
2.8
6+ Goals
10%
7.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.01
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.2
X/1
15%
4.11
X/2
9%
10.65
X/X
14%
6.43
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
20.4
2/2
8%
7.39
2/X
7%
15.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.4 — our 10% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
58%
-8.4pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.1pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.1pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lokomotiv Moscow v Khimki — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Moscow EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Khimki EU Bookmakers 23%
-4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -3%
1.66/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.60
-11% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
383 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
28.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
18.7 Crosses 15.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5

Lokomotiv Moscow vs Khimki Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Moscow
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Khimki
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
3.93 xG 0.77
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
396 Passes 225
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
31 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.10.2024 Khimki Khimki 2-0 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
19.09.2024 Khimki Khimki 1-5 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUK
28.08.2024 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 4-0 HT 2-0 Khimki Khimki RUK
30.04.2023 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 5-1 HT 1-0 Khimki Khimki RUS
18.10.2022 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 1-0 HT 0-0 Khimki Khimki RUK
28.09.2022 Khimki Khimki 0-5 HT 0-2 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUK

Lokomotiv Moscow 1-3 Khimki — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Moscow
1-3
AWAY Khimki
3.54 xG 1.70
61% Ball Possession 39%
34 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 1
384 Passes 229
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
77 Box Touches 19
32 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Moscow vs Khimki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khimki got the better of Lokomotiv Moscow 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Lokomotiv Moscow at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Lokomotiv Moscow had 61% of the ball to Khimki's 39%, shots finished 34-11, expected goals 3.54 to 1.70 — the balance of chances actually favoured Lokomotiv Moscow.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Moscow had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Lokomotiv Moscow and 0.67 for Khimki.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Moscow vs Khimki?

Lokomotiv Moscow 1-3 Khimki in the Russia - Premier League on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Moscow vs Khimki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Moscow 50%, draw 26%, Khimki 24%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lokomotiv Moscow) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotiv Moscow) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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