Zenit St. Petersburg 2-3 Krylya Sovetov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 1 Dec 2024

Zenit St. Petersburg
2-3 HT 1-3
Krylya Sovetov
📅01/12/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2024/2025

Zenit St. Petersburg vs Krylya Sovetov Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.3
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
16%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.25
2-3 Goals
37%
1.88
4-5 Goals
27%
3.05
6+ Goals
12%
9.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.54
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
23.4
X/1
18%
3.41
X/2
6%
19.75
X/X
8%
7.4
2/1
8%
24.3
2/2
5%
16.2
2/X
6%
23.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
72%
-8.2pp
20%
Draw
17%
+3.0pp
16%
Away Win
10%
+5.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.6pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zenit St. Petersburg v Krylya Sovetov — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Krylya Sovetov EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -20%
2.25/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.76
+22% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -7%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
440 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
35.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
22.1 Crosses 12.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3

Zenit St. Petersburg vs Krylya Sovetov Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.13 xG 0.65
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
530 Passes 276
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
20.07.2024 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 0-4 HT 0-3 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
30.03.2024 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 1-1 HT 1-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
31.10.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUK
22.10.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 3-1 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
09.08.2023 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 0-1 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUK
29.04.2023 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 1-5 HT 1-2 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS

Zenit St. Petersburg 2-3 Krylya Sovetov — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
2-3
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
3.12 xG 1.82
77% Ball Possession 23%
23 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 1
723 Passes 169
91% Pass Accuracy 68%
53 Box Touches 15
41 Crosses 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zenit St. Petersburg vs Krylya Sovetov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krylya Sovetov squeezed past Zenit St. Petersburg 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Zenit St. Petersburg carried 64% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Zenit St. Petersburg had 77% of the ball to Krylya Sovetov's 23%, shots finished 23-10, expected goals 3.12 to 1.82 — on chances, Zenit St. Petersburg could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Zenit St. Petersburg and 0.50 for Krylya Sovetov.

What was the final score of Zenit St. Petersburg vs Krylya Sovetov?

Zenit St. Petersburg 2-3 Krylya Sovetov in the Russia - Premier League on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zenit St. Petersburg vs Krylya Sovetov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Zenit St. Petersburg 64%, draw 20%, Krylya Sovetov 16%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS More Russia - Premier League
1 Dec 2024
14:00 Lokomotiv Moscow vs Khimki Analysis →
19:00 Makhachkala vs Fakel Analysis →
19:30 Krasnodar vs Spartak Moskova Analysis →