Paços De Ferreira 1-1 Felgueiras 1932 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 1 Dec 2025

📅01/12/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.75
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.93
6+ Goals
8%
18.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
29%
+4.7pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
39%
Away Win
43%
-3.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.6pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paços De Ferreira EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Felgueiras 1932 EU Bookmakers 48%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -48% / -48%
1.47/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.28
+35% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -54%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
242 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.3 Crosses 10.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paços De Ferreira
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Felgueiras 1932
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.65 xG 2.52
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
262 Passes 118
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2025 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 1-2 HT 1-0 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 POR2
12.01.2025 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 1-0 HT 1-0 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POR2
24.07.2024 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 4-4 HT 2-2 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paços De Ferreira
1-1
AWAY Felgueiras 1932
1.18 xG 2.15
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 5
187 Passes 108
67% Pass Accuracy 69%
17 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Paços De Ferreira vs Felgueiras 1932
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paços De Ferreira and Felgueiras 1932 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Paços De Ferreira had 52% of the ball to Felgueiras 1932's 48%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 1.18 to 2.15.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Felgueiras 1932 led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Paços De Ferreira and 2.33 for Felgueiras 1932.

What was the final score of Paços De Ferreira vs Felgueiras 1932?

Paços De Ferreira 1-1 Felgueiras 1932 in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 01/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paços De Ferreira vs Felgueiras 1932?

Before kick-off our model rated an Felgueiras 1932 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Paços De Ferreira 34%, draw 27%, Felgueiras 1932 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Felgueiras 1932) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Felgueiras 1932) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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