Paços De Ferreira 1-2 Felgueiras 1932 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.78
Over 2.5
40%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.6pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paços De Ferreira EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Felgueiras 1932 EU Bookmakers 34%
-15% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.47/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.30
-18% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
27.4 Crosses 12.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paços De Ferreira
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Felgueiras 1932
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.64 xG 2.38
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
310 Passes 59
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
29 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
12.01.2025 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 1-0 HT 1-0 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POR2
24.07.2024 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 4-4 HT 2-2 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paços De Ferreira
1-2
AWAY Felgueiras 1932
1.65 xG 2.66
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
213 Passes 177
69% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Crosses 11
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Paços De Ferreira vs Felgueiras 1932
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Felgueiras 1932 nicked a narrow win over Paços De Ferreira 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Felgueiras 1932 made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Paços De Ferreira had 43% of the ball to Felgueiras 1932's 57%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.65 to 2.66.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Felgueiras 1932 led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Paços De Ferreira and 2.50 for Felgueiras 1932.

What was the final score of Paços De Ferreira vs Felgueiras 1932?

Paços De Ferreira 1-2 Felgueiras 1932 in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paços De Ferreira vs Felgueiras 1932?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paços De Ferreira win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Paços De Ferreira 38%, draw 26%, Felgueiras 1932 36%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Paços De Ferreira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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