UD Oliveirense 1-1 Maritimo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
39%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.8pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.8pp
39%
Away Win
31%
+7.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.1pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD Oliveirense EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Maritimo EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +20%
1.45/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.41
+2% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
291 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.9 Crosses 18.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UD Oliveirense
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Maritimo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.09 xG 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
242 Passes 308
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.12.2024 Maritimo Maritimo 1-2 HT 0-1 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
12.05.2024 Maritimo Maritimo 2-1 HT 1-1 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
06.01.2024 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 1-1 HT 0-0 Maritimo Maritimo POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD Oliveirense
1-1
AWAY Maritimo
0.77 xG 2.07
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
161 Passes 262
67% Pass Accuracy 75%
10 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH UD Oliveirense vs Maritimo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD Oliveirense and Maritimo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, UD Oliveirense had 42% of the ball to Maritimo's 58%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.77 to 2.07.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for UD Oliveirense and 1.33 for Maritimo.

What was the final score of UD Oliveirense vs Maritimo?

UD Oliveirense 1-1 Maritimo in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD Oliveirense vs Maritimo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maritimo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split UD Oliveirense 37%, draw 24%, Maritimo 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Maritimo), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maritimo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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