Chaves 0-2 Uniao De Leiria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 10 May 2025

Chaves
0-2 HT 0-1
Uniao De Leiria
📅10/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Chaves vs Uniao De Leiria Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.2pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chaves v Uniao De Leiria — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chaves EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Uniao De Leiria EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +4%
1.39/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.32
+7% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
294 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
21.1 Crosses 17.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4

Chaves vs Uniao De Leiria Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chaves
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Uniao De Leiria
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.67 xG 1.23
55% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
288 Passes 360
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
12.01.2025 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 1-1 HT 1-0 Chaves Chaves POR2
26.09.2015 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 0-0 HT 0-0 Chaves Chaves POK

Chaves 0-2 Uniao De Leiria — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chaves
0-2
AWAY Uniao De Leiria
1.68 xG 1.65
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
394 Passes 340
91% Pass Accuracy 86%
24 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chaves vs Uniao De Leiria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uniao De Leiria got the better of Chaves 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Uniao De Leiria found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Chaves had 54% of the ball to Uniao De Leiria's 46%, shots finished 18-16, expected goals 1.68 to 1.65.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Chaves and 0.50 for Uniao De Leiria.

What was the final score of Chaves vs Uniao De Leiria?

Chaves 0-2 Uniao De Leiria in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chaves vs Uniao De Leiria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chaves win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Chaves 38%, draw 26%, Uniao De Leiria 36%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chaves) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chaves) ✓ Under 2.5
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