Adana Demirspor 3-3 Hatayspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 1 Dec 2025

Adana Demirspor
3-3 HT 1-1
Hatayspor
📅01/12/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Adana Demirspor vs Hatayspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
7.78
Draw
13%
5.71
Away
70%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.56
No
40%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
9%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
47%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
10%
+7.3pp
13%
Draw
14%
-1.5pp
70%
Away Win
76%
-5.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.3pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Adana Demirspor v Hatayspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adana Demirspor EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Hatayspor EU Bookmakers 80%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.71/3.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/1.62
+13% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -3%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
279 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 81%
8.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 40.0
7.3 Crosses 39.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.0

Adana Demirspor vs Hatayspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adana Demirspor
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Hatayspor
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.57 xG 1.82
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
342 Passes 314
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
17.05.2025 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 0-5 HT 0-3 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
23.12.2024 Hatayspor Hatayspor 1-3 HT 1-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
27.01.2024 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 0-1 HT 0-1 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
03.09.2023 Hatayspor Hatayspor 3-3 HT 0-1 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
04.09.2022 Hatayspor Hatayspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
04.04.2022 Hatayspor Hatayspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL

Adana Demirspor 3-3 Hatayspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adana Demirspor
3-3
AWAY Hatayspor
2.10 xG 1.94
35% Ball Possession 65%
17 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
182 Passes 419
70% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 24
8 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Adana Demirspor vs Hatayspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adana Demirspor and Hatayspor couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Hatayspor carried 70% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Adana Demirspor had 35% of the ball to Hatayspor's 65%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 2.10 to 1.94.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hatayspor led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Adana Demirspor and 1.83 for Hatayspor.

What was the final score of Adana Demirspor vs Hatayspor?

Adana Demirspor 3-3 Hatayspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 01/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adana Demirspor vs Hatayspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hatayspor win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Adana Demirspor 17%, draw 13%, Hatayspor 70%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hatayspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hatayspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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