Gil Vicente 1-1 Sporting CP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 2 Jan 2026

Gil Vicente
1-1 HT 0-1
Sporting CP
📅02/01/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2025/2026

Gil Vicente vs Sporting CP Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
5.4
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
62%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.05
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.7
6+ Goals
9%
15.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.05 — our 31% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
11.75
1/2
15%
25.5
1/X
5%
20.55
X/1
5%
13.0
X/2
20%
3.8
X/X
15%
5.46
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
26%
1.85
2/X
5%
17.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
15%
-2.2pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.9pp
62%
Away Win
63%
-0.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.0pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gil Vicente v Sporting CP — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gil Vicente EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP EU Bookmakers 67%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +9%
1.11/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/0.72
+5% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +0%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
236 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 82%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.2
12.8 Crosses 20.8
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6

Gil Vicente vs Sporting CP Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gil Vicente
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Sporting CP
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.65 xG 1.43
39% Ball Possession 61%
5 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
298 Passes 506
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
10 Box Touches 29
11 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.05.2025 Sporting CP Sporting CP 2-1 HT 0-1 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
27.02.2025 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting CP Sporting CP POK
22.12.2024 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
12.04.2024 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 0-4 HT 0-4 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
04.12.2023 Sporting CP Sporting CP 3-1 HT 1-1 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
05.04.2023 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR

Gil Vicente 1-1 Sporting CP — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gil Vicente
1-1
AWAY Sporting CP
1.18 xG 1.37
36% Ball Possession 64%
19 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 7
187 Passes 404
75% Pass Accuracy 87%
28 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Gil Vicente vs Sporting CP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gil Vicente and Sporting CP couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Sporting CP carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gil Vicente had 36% of the ball to Sporting CP's 64%, shots finished 19-14, expected goals 1.18 to 1.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting CP led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Gil Vicente and 1.67 for Sporting CP.

What was the final score of Gil Vicente vs Sporting CP?

Gil Vicente 1-1 Sporting CP in the Portugal - Premier League on 02/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gil Vicente vs Sporting CP?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Gil Vicente 13%, draw 25%, Sporting CP 62%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sporting CP), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting CP) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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