Sporting CP 2-1 Gil Vicente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.16
Draw
22%
6.26
Away
17%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.59
Over 2.5
52%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.19
No
52%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.48
2-3 Goals
38%
2.02
4-5 Goals
24%
2.6
6+ Goals
12%
6.03
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.28
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
30.0
X/1
17%
3.78
X/2
5%
32.5
X/X
9%
10.4
2/1
8%
25.0
2/2
7%
30.0
2/X
5%
35.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
81%
-20.1pp
22%
Draw
13%
+9.3pp
17%
Away Win
6%
+10.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
35%
+13.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
65%
-13.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.2pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Gil Vicente EU Bookmakers 9%
+1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +2%
2.37/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/2.25
+2% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -1%
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
459 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 73%
35.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.5
23.2 Crosses 9.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting CP
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Gil Vicente
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.74 xG 0.77
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
506 Passes 316
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
30 Box Touches 11
21 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.02.2025 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting CP Sporting CP POK
22.12.2024 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
12.04.2024 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 0-4 HT 0-4 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
04.12.2023 Sporting CP Sporting CP 3-1 HT 1-1 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
05.04.2023 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
30.09.2022 Sporting CP Sporting CP 3-1 HT 2-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP
2-1
AWAY Gil Vicente
0.75 xG 0.79
71% Ball Possession 29%
16 Total Shots 1
3 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 2
522 Passes 167
86% Pass Accuracy 66%
30 Box Touches 6
27 Crosses 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sporting CP vs Gil Vicente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP squeezed past Gil Vicente 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sporting CP as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Sporting CP had 71% of the ball to Gil Vicente's 29%, shots finished 16-1, expected goals 0.75 to 0.79.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting CP had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sporting CP and 0.33 for Gil Vicente.

What was the final score of Sporting CP vs Gil Vicente?

Sporting CP 2-1 Gil Vicente in the Portugal - Premier League on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP vs Gil Vicente?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP 61%, draw 22%, Gil Vicente 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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