Chateauroux 3-0 Marignane GCB — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 2 Feb 2024

Chateauroux
3-0 HT 1-0
Marignane GCB
📅02/02/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2023/2024

Chateauroux vs Marignane GCB Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.82
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.54
Over 2.5
35%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
40%
2.34
2-3 Goals
35%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
5.09
6+ Goals
7%
31.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.34 — our 40% vs market 35.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.53
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
9%
15.6
X/1
18%
3.84
X/2
9%
8.09
X/X
16%
3.94
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
12%
7.13
2/X
7%
16.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
51%
-9.6pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.1pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.5pp
65%
Under 2.5
61%
+3.8pp
35%
Over 2.5
39%
-3.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.9pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chateauroux v Marignane GCB — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chateauroux EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Marignane GCB EU Bookmakers 25%
-10% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.52/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.32
-3% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +12%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
365 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.5

Chateauroux vs Marignane GCB Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chateauroux
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Marignane GCB
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
9 Corners 9
The Meetings
25.08.2023 Marignane GCB Marignane GCB 1-1 HT 1-1 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
POST-MATCH Chateauroux vs Marignane GCB
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chateauroux cruised past Marignane GCB 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Chateauroux as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (65%) missed.

What was the final score of Chateauroux vs Marignane GCB?

Chateauroux 3-0 Marignane GCB in the France - National League 1 on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chateauroux vs Marignane GCB?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chateauroux win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Chateauroux 41%, draw 31%, Marignane GCB 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chateauroux), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chateauroux) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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