Nancy 1-0 Cholet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 2 Feb 2024

Nancy
1-0 HT 0-0
Cholet
📅02/02/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.48
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
4.74
6+ Goals
9%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.33
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
16.2
X/1
21%
3.68
X/2
12%
8.95
X/X
12%
4.23
2/1
12%
28.0
2/2
7%
7.89
2/X
8%
17.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-4.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.5pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nancy EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cholet EU Bookmakers 23%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -9%
1.45/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.79
-14% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -19%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
362 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nancy
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Cholet
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2023 Cholet Cholet 0-2 HT 0-1 Nancy Nancy FR3
10.03.2023 Cholet Cholet 1-1 HT 1-1 Nancy Nancy FR3
30.09.2022 Nancy Nancy 1-1 HT 0-0 Cholet Cholet FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nancy
1-0
AWAY Cholet
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nancy vs Cholet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nancy squeezed past Cholet 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nancy as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Nancy had 58% of the ball to Cholet's 42%, shots finished 11-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Nancy had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Nancy and 0.67 for Cholet.

What was the final score of Nancy vs Cholet?

Nancy 1-0 Cholet in the France - National League 1 on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nancy vs Cholet?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nancy win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Nancy 49%, draw 26%, Cholet 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nancy), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nancy) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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