Villefranche 0-4 Niort — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 2 Feb 2024

📅02/02/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.71
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
4.26
6+ Goals
9%
21.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.21
1/2
9%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.75
X/1
17%
4.67
X/2
12%
6.14
X/X
15%
4.13
2/1
10%
29.0
2/2
11%
4.71
2/X
6%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.1pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villefranche EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Niort EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.39/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/2.01
+6% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -38%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
314 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Villefranche
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Niort
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.24 xG 0.99
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
278 Passes 302
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
36 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2023 Niort Niort 1-1 HT 1-1 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
22.05.2021 Niort Niort 2-0 HT 0-0 Villefranche Villefranche FR2
19.05.2021 Villefranche Villefranche 3-1 HT 0-1 Niort Niort FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villefranche
0-4
AWAY Niort
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Villefranche vs Niort
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Niort ran out comfortable winners over Villefranche 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Our pre-match lean was Villefranche at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Villefranche had 48% of the ball to Niort's 52%, shots finished 14-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Villefranche and 1.33 for Niort.

What was the final score of Villefranche vs Niort?

Villefranche 0-4 Niort in the France - National League 1 on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villefranche vs Niort?

Before kick-off our model rated a Villefranche win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Villefranche 41%, draw 27%, Niort 32%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Villefranche), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Villefranche) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR3 More France - National League 1
2 Feb 2024
21:30 Rouen vs Versailles Analysis →
21:30 Nancy vs Cholet Analysis →
21:30 Monts dOr Azergues vs Epinal Analysis →
21:30 Le Mans FC vs Nimes Analysis →
21:30 Chateauroux vs Marignane GCB Analysis →
21:30 Avranches vs Dijon Analysis →