Sochaux 2-2 Red Star FC 93 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 2 Feb 2024

📅02/02/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.26
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.57
6+ Goals
10%
14.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 29% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.92
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
12%
12.85
X/1
10%
5.75
X/2
15%
5.32
X/X
12%
4.48
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
16%
3.52
2/X
6%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-1.6pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.9pp
37%
Away Win
37%
-0.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.8pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sochaux EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Red Star FC 93 EU Bookmakers 40%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +16%
1.83/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.10
+50% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sochaux
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Red Star FC 93
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.90 xG 1.82
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
318 Passes 355
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.08.2023 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 2-0 HT 2-0 Sochaux Sochaux FR3
03.05.2019 Sochaux Sochaux 1-2 HT 0-1 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 FR2
14.12.2018 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 3-0 HT 1-0 Sochaux Sochaux FR2
12.05.2017 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 1-1 HT 0-1 Sochaux Sochaux FR2
16.12.2016 Sochaux Sochaux 2-0 HT 1-0 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 FR2
05.02.2016 Sochaux Sochaux 1-2 HT 1-0 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sochaux
2-2
AWAY Red Star FC 93
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Sochaux vs Red Star FC 93
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sochaux and Red Star FC 93 couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sochaux had 36% of the ball to Red Star FC 93's 64%, shots finished 6-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Red Star FC 93 led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sochaux and 1.67 for Red Star FC 93.

What was the final score of Sochaux vs Red Star FC 93?

Sochaux 2-2 Red Star FC 93 in the France - National League 1 on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sochaux vs Red Star FC 93?

Before kick-off our model rated an Red Star FC 93 win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sochaux 34%, draw 29%, Red Star FC 93 37%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Red Star FC 93) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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