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Aston Villa (K) vs Chelsea (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aston Villa (K) v Chelsea (K) — Team-Based Signals
Aston Villa (K) vs Chelsea (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
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Aston Villa (K) 0-1 Chelsea (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Chelsea (K) edged past Aston Villa (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chelsea (K) as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Aston Villa (K) had 47% of the ball to Chelsea (K)'s 53%, shots finished 6-11, expected goals 0.49 to 0.72.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Chelsea (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Aston Villa (K) and 2.00 for Chelsea (K).
What was the final score of Aston Villa (K) vs Chelsea (K)?
Aston Villa (K) 0-1 Chelsea (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aston Villa (K) vs Chelsea (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Chelsea (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa (K) 18%, draw 13%, Chelsea (K) 68%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea (K)), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.