El Nacional 0-0 LDU Quito — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ekvator - Super Cup, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.48
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
49%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
13%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
20%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
19%
+2.4pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.5pp
49%
Away Win
56%
-6.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.2pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Nacional EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 60%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
238 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Nacional
0W-3D-3L
AWAY LDU Quito
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.75 xG 1.32
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
155 Passes 321
70% Pass Accuracy 81%
11 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
03.10.2024 LDU Quito LDU Quito 0-0 El Nacional El Nacional EKVK
22.09.2024 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-1 HT 1-1 El Nacional El Nacional EKV1
06.04.2024 El Nacional El Nacional 1-2 HT 1-1 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
19.08.2023 LDU Quito LDU Quito 0-0 HT 0-0 El Nacional El Nacional EKV1
20.03.2023 El Nacional El Nacional 0-2 HT 0-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
25.10.2020 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-0 HT 0-0 El Nacional El Nacional EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Nacional
0-0
AWAY LDU Quito
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH El Nacional vs LDU Quito
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Nacional and LDU Quito fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was LDU Quito at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, El Nacional had 37% of the ball to LDU Quito's 63%, shots finished 12-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, LDU Quito led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for El Nacional and 1.00 for LDU Quito.

What was the final score of El Nacional vs LDU Quito?

El Nacional 0-0 LDU Quito in the Ekvator - Super Cup on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Nacional vs LDU Quito?

Before kick-off our model rated an LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split El Nacional 22%, draw 30%, LDU Quito 49%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (LDU Quito) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (LDU Quito) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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