Dorados De Sinaloa 1-1 Celaya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.87
Draw
33%
3.64
Away
40%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+4.5pp
33%
Draw
24%
+9.1pp
40%
Away Win
53%
-13.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.8pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dorados De Sinaloa EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Celaya EU Bookmakers 57%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.65/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.83/1.04
+61% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +93% / +3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
302 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dorados De Sinaloa
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Celaya
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
19.08.2024 Celaya Celaya 3-1 HT 0-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
07.02.2024 Celaya Celaya 3-1 HT 1-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
26.10.2023 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 1-4 HT 0-1 Celaya Celaya MEK2
09.02.2023 Celaya Celaya 4-2 HT 1-2 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
03.08.2022 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 0-1 HT 0-1 Celaya Celaya MEK2
23.03.2022 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 0-2 HT 0-1 Celaya Celaya MEK2
POST-MATCH Dorados De Sinaloa vs Celaya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dorados De Sinaloa and Celaya shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (27% / 33% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celaya led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Dorados De Sinaloa and 2.83 for Celaya.

What was the final score of Dorados De Sinaloa vs Celaya?

Dorados De Sinaloa 1-1 Celaya in the Mexico - Primera A on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dorados De Sinaloa vs Celaya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celaya win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Dorados De Sinaloa 27%, draw 33%, Celaya 40%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Celaya) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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