Göztepe 0-1 Alanyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 2 Feb 2025

Göztepe
0-1 HT 0-1
Alanyaspor
📅02/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2024/2025

Göztepe vs Alanyaspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.95
Over 2.5
56%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.41
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.28
6+ Goals
11%
12.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.28 — our 28% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.94
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.55
X/1
20%
3.98
X/2
7%
11.2
X/X
11%
5.53
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
22.55
2/2
9%
9.28
2/X
5%
17.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.55 — our 11% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
60%
-4.0pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.3pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Göztepe v Alanyaspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Göztepe EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Alanyaspor EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
2.39/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.97
-4% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
353 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
22.1 Crosses 17.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2

Göztepe vs Alanyaspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Göztepe
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Alanyaspor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.10 xG 1.64
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
258 Passes 414
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.08.2024 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-1 HT 0-1 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
19.03.2022 Göztepe Göztepe 0-2 HT 0-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
31.10.2021 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 2-2 HT 1-0 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
04.03.2021 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-1 HT 0-1 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
09.12.2020 Göztepe Göztepe 1-0 HT 0-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
27.06.2020 Göztepe Göztepe 3-3 HT 1-2 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL

Göztepe 0-1 Alanyaspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Göztepe
0-1
AWAY Alanyaspor
2.90 xG 0.45
56% Ball Possession 44%
25 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
252 Passes 169
69% Pass Accuracy 59%
39 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Göztepe vs Alanyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alanyaspor edged past Göztepe 1-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Göztepe carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Göztepe had 56% of the ball to Alanyaspor's 44%, shots finished 25-8, expected goals 2.90 to 0.45 — on chances, Göztepe could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Göztepe and 1.50 for Alanyaspor.

What was the final score of Göztepe vs Alanyaspor?

Göztepe 0-1 Alanyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Göztepe vs Alanyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Göztepe win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Göztepe 56%, draw 23%, Alanyaspor 21%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Göztepe) ✗ Over 2.5
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