Adana Demirspor 3-5 Kasımpaşa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
43%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.0pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.7pp
43%
Away Win
49%
-5.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.3pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adana Demirspor EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Kasımpaşa EU Bookmakers 54%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.12/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/0.97
-31% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
314 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 83%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.5
13.6 Crosses 25.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adana Demirspor
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Kasımpaşa
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.65 xG 1.88
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
342 Passes 308
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2024 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 2-2 HT 1-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
09.02.2024 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 1-3 HT 0-2 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
24.09.2023 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 2-1 HT 1-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
15.04.2023 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 5-0 HT 3-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
15.10.2022 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 1-4 HT 0-2 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
17.04.2022 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 4-0 HT 2-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adana Demirspor
3-5
AWAY Kasımpaşa
0.58 xG 2.83
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
229 Passes 385
75% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Adana Demirspor vs Kasımpaşa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kasımpaşa beat Adana Demirspor 5-3 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kasımpaşa as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Adana Demirspor had 40% of the ball to Kasımpaşa's 60%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 0.58 to 2.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kasımpaşa led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Adana Demirspor and 2.00 for Kasımpaşa.

What was the final score of Adana Demirspor vs Kasımpaşa?

Adana Demirspor 3-5 Kasımpaşa in the Turkey - Super League on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adana Demirspor vs Kasımpaşa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kasımpaşa win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Adana Demirspor 29%, draw 28%, Kasımpaşa 43%. The final score 3-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kasımpaşa), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kasımpaşa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TSL More Turkey - Super League
2 Feb 2025
16:00 Göztepe vs Alanyaspor Analysis →
19:00 Fenerbahçe vs Çaykur Rizespor Analysis →