Fenerbahçe vs Çaykur Rizespor Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fenerbahçe v Çaykur Rizespor — Team-Based Signals
Fenerbahçe vs Çaykur Rizespor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-0
HT 1-0
Çaykur Rizespor
TSL
2-1
HT 1-1
Çaykur Rizespor
TÜK
0-6
HT 0-3
Fenerbahçe
TSL
4-0
HT 1-0
Çaykur Rizespor
TSL
Fenerbahçe 3-2 Çaykur Rizespor — Actual Match Statistics
Fenerbahçe edged past Çaykur Rizespor 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fenerbahçe as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Fenerbahçe had 67% of the ball to Çaykur Rizespor's 33%, shots finished 36-6, expected goals 4.53 to 0.28 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Fenerbahçe's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fenerbahçe had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 4.17 goals for Fenerbahçe and 0.33 for Çaykur Rizespor.
What was the final score of Fenerbahçe vs Çaykur Rizespor?
Fenerbahçe 3-2 Çaykur Rizespor in the Turkey - Super League on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fenerbahçe vs Çaykur Rizespor?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Fenerbahçe 58%, draw 23%, Çaykur Rizespor 19%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fenerbahçe), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.