Casa Pia vs Porto Prediction — Model Probabilities
Casa Pia v Porto — Team-Based Signals
Casa Pia vs Porto Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Casa Pia 2-1 Porto — Actual Match Statistics
Casa Pia shaded a tight game against Porto 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Porto at 77% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Porto saw more of the ball, 68% to 32%, shots finished 5-15, expected goals 0.91 to 1.68 — on chances, Porto could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Porto led the recent series with 6 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Casa Pia against 2.33 for Porto.
Casa Pia vs Porto Result & Final Score
Casa Pia 2 - 1 Porto in the Portugal - Premier League on 02/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Casa Pia vs Porto Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Porto win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Casa Pia 8%, draw 15%, Porto 77%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Porto), BTTS No went the other way.