Casa Pia vs Porto Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Casa Pia v Porto — Team-Based Signals
Casa Pia vs Porto Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-0
Casa Pia
POR
2-1
HT 0-1
Casa Pia
POR
0-0
HT 0-0
Porto
POR
0-3
HT 0-0
Porto
PORLC
Casa Pia 0-1 Porto — Actual Match Statistics
Porto squeezed past Casa Pia 1-0 away from home.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Porto as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Casa Pia had 47% of the ball to Porto's 53%, shots finished 5-10, expected goals 0.54 to 0.76.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Porto led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Casa Pia and 2.00 for Porto.
What was the final score of Casa Pia vs Porto?
Casa Pia 0-1 Porto in the Portugal - Premier League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Casa Pia vs Porto?
Before kick-off our model rated an Porto win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Casa Pia 24%, draw 22%, Porto 54%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Porto), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.