Santa Clara 0-1 Sporting CP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.34
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
50%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.53
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.48
6+ Goals
10%
23.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
11.05
1/2
13%
28.5
1/X
8%
20.15
X/1
8%
11.8
X/2
18%
3.78
X/X
15%
4.62
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
18%
2.02
2/X
6%
17.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
16%
+4.8pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.8pp
50%
Away Win
59%
-8.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.9pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Clara EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP EU Bookmakers 62%
-8% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
0.75/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/0.71
-40% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +7%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
217 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 82%
14.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.9
12.7 Crosses 21.4
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Clara
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Sporting CP
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.59 xG 1.82
29% Ball Possession 71%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
175 Passes 558
68% Pass Accuracy 88%
9 Box Touches 30
8 Crosses 24
5 Yellow Cards 2
18.12.2024 Sporting CP Sporting CP 2-1 HT 0-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POK
30.11.2024 Sporting CP Sporting CP 0-1 HT 0-1 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
01.04.2023 Sporting CP Sporting CP 3-0 HT 2-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
08.10.2022 Santa Clara Santa Clara 1-2 HT 0-1 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
14.05.2022 Sporting CP Sporting CP 4-0 HT 1-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
26.01.2022 Sporting CP Sporting CP 2-1 HT 1-1 Santa Clara Santa Clara PORLC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Clara
0-1
AWAY Sporting CP
0.69 xG 0.82
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
166 Passes 372
65% Pass Accuracy 81%
8 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Santa Clara vs Sporting CP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP edged past Santa Clara 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sporting CP as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Santa Clara had 36% of the ball to Sporting CP's 64%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 0.69 to 0.82.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting CP led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Santa Clara and 2.17 for Sporting CP.

What was the final score of Santa Clara vs Sporting CP?

Santa Clara 0-1 Sporting CP in the Portugal - Premier League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Clara vs Sporting CP?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Santa Clara 21%, draw 28%, Sporting CP 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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