Esenler Erokspor 1-0 Ümraniyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 2 Feb 2026

Esenler Erokspor
1-0 HT 1-0
Ümraniyespor
📅02/02/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Esenler Erokspor vs Ümraniyespor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
61%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
17%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
2.07
Over
49%
1.72
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 ✓
30%
3.86
2-3
37%
1.83
4-5
22%
3.1
6+
11%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.86 — our 30% vs market 20.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.88
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
6%
16.2
X/1 ✗
27%
4.05
X/2
6%
12.0
X/X
12%
6.12
2/1
9%
21.8
2/2
6%
9.77
2/X
5%
18.3
Value flag · X/1 at 4.05 — our 27% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Esenler Erokspor v Ümraniyespor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Esenler Erokspor The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Ümraniyespor The Market 20%
Great Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Great Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
2.04 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.03
0.62 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.61
Great Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Great Defensevs comparable teams Average
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
380 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
13.9 Crosses 14.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Esenler Erokspor vs Ümraniyespor Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esenler Erokspor
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Ümraniyespor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.21 xG 1.08
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
389 Passes 362
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.08.2025 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 0-2 HT 0-1 Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor T1L
14.04.2025 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 1-1 HT 0-0 Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor T1L
09.12.2024 Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor 0-1 HT 0-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L

Esenler Erokspor 1-0 Ümraniyespor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Esenler Erokspor
1-0
AWAY Ümraniyespor
0.92 xG 0.84
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
369 Passes 329
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
32 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Esenler Erokspor vs Ümraniyespor
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Esenler Erokspor came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Ümraniyespor 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Esenler Erokspor as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 49% for over 2.5, 49% on both teams scoring. If anything the market was more convinced: the over-2.5 price stood at 1.72, roughly 58%.

Under the surface, Esenler Erokspor had 52% of the ball to Ümraniyespor's 48%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 0.92 to 0.84.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Esenler Erokspor and 0.67 for Ümraniyespor.

Esenler Erokspor vs Ümraniyespor Result & Final Score

Esenler Erokspor 1-0 Ümraniyespor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 02/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Esenler Erokspor vs Ümraniyespor Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Esenler Erokspor win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Esenler Erokspor 61%, draw 22%, Ümraniyespor 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Esenler Erokspor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Esenler Erokspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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