Estudiantes De Merida 2-2 Caracas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 2 Feb 2026

📅02/02/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
36%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.5pp
24%
Draw
30%
-5.7pp
37%
Away Win
28%
+8.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes De Merida EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Caracas FC EU Bookmakers 32%
+9% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +10%
1.44/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.24
+15% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
272 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 71%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
18.2 Crosses 15.0
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes De Merida
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Caracas FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.38 xG 0.99
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
303 Passes 324
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 3
11.08.2025 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-0 HT 0-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
02.03.2025 Caracas FC Caracas FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
16.08.2024 Caracas FC Caracas FC 2-3 HT 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
25.02.2024 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-1 HT 0-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
05.08.2023 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 0-2 HT 0-1 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
09.04.2023 Caracas FC Caracas FC 2-2 HT 0-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes De Merida
2-2
AWAY Caracas FC
0.84 xG 0.55
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
207 Passes 239
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Estudiantes De Merida vs Caracas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes De Merida and Caracas FC couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Estudiantes De Merida had 48% of the ball to Caracas FC's 52%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.84 to 0.55.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Estudiantes De Merida had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Estudiantes De Merida and 1.17 for Caracas FC.

What was the final score of Estudiantes De Merida vs Caracas FC?

Estudiantes De Merida 2-2 Caracas FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 02/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes De Merida vs Caracas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes De Merida win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes De Merida 40%, draw 24%, Caracas FC 37%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Estudiantes De Merida) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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