Estudiantes De Merida vs Caracas FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Estudiantes De Merida v Caracas FC — Team-Based Signals
Estudiantes De Merida vs Caracas FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Caracas FC
VEN
2-2
HT 0-0
Estudiantes De Merida
VEN
1-1
HT 1-0
Caracas FC
VEN
Estudiantes De Merida 1-0 Caracas FC — Actual Match Statistics
Estudiantes De Merida squeezed past Caracas FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Estudiantes De Merida as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Estudiantes De Merida had 41% of the ball to Caracas FC's 59%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 1.48 to 0.69.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Estudiantes De Merida and 1.33 for Caracas FC.
What was the final score of Estudiantes De Merida vs Caracas FC?
Estudiantes De Merida 1-0 Caracas FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 11/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Estudiantes De Merida vs Caracas FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes De Merida win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes De Merida 41%, draw 29%, Caracas FC 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estudiantes De Merida), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.