Metropolitanos vs Deportivo La Guaira Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Metropolitanos v Deportivo La Guaira — Team-Based Signals
Metropolitanos vs Deportivo La Guaira Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Deportivo La Guaira
VEN
Metropolitanos 1-3 Deportivo La Guaira — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo La Guaira saw off Metropolitanos 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Deportivo La Guaira as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Metropolitanos had 45% of the ball to Deportivo La Guaira's 55%, shots finished 5-14, expected goals 0.22 to 1.48.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Metropolitanos had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Metropolitanos and 1.50 for Deportivo La Guaira.
What was the final score of Metropolitanos vs Deportivo La Guaira?
Metropolitanos 1-3 Deportivo La Guaira in the Venezuela - Premier League on 11/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Metropolitanos vs Deportivo La Guaira?
Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Metropolitanos 26%, draw 20%, Deportivo La Guaira 54%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.